I’d like to share an inspiring post I came across on the internet. It’s worth reading through it..
Here it goes -
What are your odds of becoming famous? It’s not a rhetorical question - I’m very serious, and there’s a point to this.
I get a fair number of e-mails from people that go something like:
“Hey Aaron, love your project. I’m working hard on my own project, so wish me luck, too.”
And I do wish them luck, very sincerely - but I tend to think they’ll do fine, regardless. Partly because they’re the small percent of the population that’s out there DOING THINGS. As far as I’m concerned, if you just keep DOING THINGS, over and over, eventually you’ll make it.
I came across a study by the National Endowment for the Arts that I thought was interesting. It was a study on how many people in the U.S. work in artistic fields. How many actors are there, how many artists, writers, etc.
This all connects back to why you shouldn’t be afraid of taking a risk from time to time - 1.4% of the population in the United States works in an artistic field as their primary job. That equates to about 2 million people in a country of about 305 million people, with an additional 300,000 that work in the arts, but make a living some other way. Almost half of those are designers and architects, which means the remaining 1 million people account for the vast majority of everything you read in a book, magazine, or watch on TV.
I find that fascinating, because it means that very few people are effecting great change.
But this is a post about the risks of failure when you take a chance. So here’s what struck me from the article the most. Of all the artists working in the U.S., about 2% of them were actors, or 39,717 people.
Half live in California, with New York claiming about 20%. So let’s take a look at a historically risky thing to do - moving to Hollywood to become an actor. Try telling your parents that your plan is to become famous in Hollywood, and see how they react. Everyone knows that making it in acting - becoming famous - is… well, insane. No one really does it, right?
The question is, what does it take for you to be at the top? If you’re an actor, and want to become famous, who do you have to beat in order to do it? Let’s define famous as having one of the top 200 acting jobs in Hollywood - after all, I can think of 20 top name actors off the top of my head, and I’m not really up on those things. 200 seems a fairly good number.
Sitting at home thinking about becoming an actor, you’re competing against all the millions of others that would like to be rich and famous, just like you. Your odds are hugely against you being successful, because millions of people want those top 200 spots. Haven’t you ever SEEN the turn out for American Idol? The line stretches for miles and miles (or so it seems).
But the truth is, as soon as you make the decision to become a full time actor, you’re no longer competing against the millions that want to become rich and famous, you’re competing against those that are actually doing something about it. And according to the NEA, that’s about 40,000 people. If you take yourself very seriously and move to California to act as your primary occupation, you take a step that most would-be actors never take, and now you’re competing against the other 20,000 actors living locally.
Half of the roles will be for one gender or another, cutting your competition in half again.
We’re now at 10,000 to 15,000 or so competitors who are in town to really do this full time. To really give acting a go as their dream.
But now we look at you, and your skills. Let’s say you’re a good actor, and a good networker. In fact, at these two skills - which is what you need to get off the ground - let’s say you’re in the 80th percentile; you’re better than 80% of the actors out there.
So, really, in auditions, you’re up against the other 20% who are as good or better than you, and the 10% who are worse, but have the right characteristics for the role. 30% of 15,000 is 4,500 people competing for those top 200 roles.
4,500/200=23 people.
There’s a lot in there that we can’t account for, like luck, and those top 200 roles only being for beautiful people and you and I look like lumps of coal… those are problems.
But if you’re good at what you do, and you look at yourself and say, “Yes, I have the characteristics needed as qualifiers to the industry,” then your odds of being successful, of being one of the 200 most successful actors in Hollywood, is about 1 in 23.
Which means that right now, sitting in your room reading this, wherever you are in the world, the chances of you becoming famous is about 1 in 23. Great odds? Not really. But as bad as you would expect? To become the next Julia Roberts or George Clooney?
I don’t think so. After all, if I put your name in a hat along with 22 other people, and told you I’d give you 1 million dollars if I picked your name… you’d be pretty excited.
But here’s the point of this entire post: It’s all a chain. It’s a chain that starts with you sitting in your living room thinking about how cool it would be to be rich and famous. And the action items in that chain are what separate you from the world; the things that you do that most of the others don’t are what knock out your competition. Thinking about becoming an actor makes you like millions of others, but becoming an actor makes you like only 2% of the population. Taking a chance and going to where acting is happening knocks out all but about 1% of the population.
If you’re talented and good, your odds of becoming a famous actor right now are 1 in 23. But no one will ever really pull your name from a hat and declare it so. They won’t come to your house and pull you out on their own.
Your odds are 1 in 23 because you’re one of the few people in the world that stood up and walked out your door, and really, honestly tried to follow your dreams.
And so few people really do that. And if you actually get done reading this post, stand up, and become an actor - or whatever your dream is - then you really are on your way to success. But if you just nod after reading this, think it’s interesting, and then close the browser and go make yourself lunch and that’s it - then welcome to the millions.
Your odds are entirely determined by your own next moves.
Aaron
P.S. I should also add that the biggest problem in acting, really, is that not hitting that top 200 spots is impossible or outside aiming for, but that hitting lower doesn’t make much money. According to the survey, most actors are better educated than the rest of the world (strong competition) and earn less than their peers at about $23,400 annually. When people say that acting is a hard business, they don’t really mean that getting to the top is impossible, just that getting to the middle is far easier. And the middle in this industry is not as lucrative as in other industries.
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Adapted from Aaron’s post on his new venture
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